How Qarabag evaluates its chances depends on the results it will achieve. Let's take a look at the results of Villarreal and Maccabi, who are currently leading the group, as well as Sivasspor and Karabakh, which are in the last two places, in the group stage:
October 22
Villarreal - "Sivasspor" 5: 3
Maccabi - "Qarabag 1: 0
October 29
Qarabag - Villarreal 3: 1
Sivasspor - "Maccabi" 1: 2
Possible victories in two consecutive games against Sivasspor on November 5 and 26 will significantly improve the work of Agdam. From a psychological point of view, there is enough time and opportunity to prepare for the next meeting and to improve the situation in the group.
Sivasspor - Although they have not won any matches so far, Sivasspor has managed to find its way to the opponent's goal. Therefore, in the games with the representative of the brotherly country, the attacks must be prevented as much as possible in order to get rid of at least the 4th step. Moreover, the Sivas see the ball at the gate in every match. Given that the turning point will be with the Turkish representative, victory in both matches is inevitable.
Azerbaijani representative, who lost to Israel 0: 1, may have a hard time against Maccabi. The Israeli club, which approaches the meetings with the philosophy of "less is better", continues to perform cold-bloodedly. We hope to see only one winner in both matches between Maccabi and Villarreal. A draw in the duel between the Spaniards and the Israelis will not work in our favor.
If Villarreal wins the match against Maccabi, if Aghdam can beat Sivas in the duels in November, the points of the Azerbaijani champion and the representative of Tel Aviv will be equal, and in the next stage everything will be in the hands of Qarabag.
Although Villarreal have won their matches with confidence, there has never been a game in which they have not conceded a goal. Given the unreliable defensive line, in the last match of the group stage, Qarabag, as in the first match, can again take the lead in the score or equalize by playing carefully in defense.
Thus, at the moment, the fate of "Karabakh" depends primarily on the meetings of the group leaders. Villarreal, who are ranked first in terms of goal difference, must beat Maccabi in both games, and in the game against Sivasspor, they must follow the determination of the first match.
In order for Karabakh to advance to second place, the team must replace Maccabi 0-1, win matches against Sivasspor and not lose in a duel with Villarreal. In short, Qarabag has no right to lose.
In these cases, our only representative in the Euroleague can overcome the group stage and qualify for the 1/16 finals.
Just as war is written on the fate of Qarabag, a war is written on the forehead of Qarabag. If they want to leave the group, they have to fight to the end.
PS: Of course, there are miracles such as Villarreal losing all the next matches or Sivasspor winning all the matches. We believe that the course of events will continue along this line, as the article is written without losing the sense of the reality of football.
Gunay KHALIL